Thursday, October 22, 2015

Bias




When people react to disconfirming evidence by strengthening their beliefs.




   Ex:   The very integrity of our "heroes" and the games they play is sometimes called into question.

Explanation: How if the hero we idolize does something bad we question everything the ever did




Exaggerated expectation
Based on the estimates, real-world evidence turns out to be less extreme than our expectations (conditionally inverse of the conservatism bias).

Ex: Tom Brady will suffer the same fate. While the lessons of telling the truth when confronted with the hard question: "Did you cheat?" have been lost on some.

Explanation:The evidence to back up if Tom Brady cheated or not can only be answered by him.Due to his wrongdoing during a football game. 



Expecting a member of a group to have certain characteristics without having actual information about that individual.


Ex: However, Brady's culpability in his encouraging Jim McNally, the Patriots locker room attendant, to make the balls lighter (he had previously complained that during a game against the Jets "the balls felt like bricks"), 



Explanation: How Tom Brady felt the need that the footballs were to hard and needed to be aired out. That he said ''the balls felt like bricks'' so he wanted them lighter. 


The tendency to overestimate one's ability to show restraint in the face of temptation.



Ex:  Tom Brady refused to cooperate with the investigation and that proved to be detrimental to his team.





 Explanation: Showing that he just didn't want to discuss it . To see later on that most football players do this and that now that he did this everyone is on hi about it. 




Excessive confidence in one's own answers to questions. For example, for certain types of questions, answers that people rate as "99% certain" turn out to be wrong 40% of the time.





Excessive confidence in one's own answers to questions. For example, for certain types of questions, answers that people rate as "99% certain" turn out to be wrong 40% of the time.



 Ex:  Add this to Mr. Brady's adamant public denial of knowing anything about the deflated balls [7] and the team's written point-by-point admonishment of the details of the official report, the fans and media are still unsure of what really happened and who to believe.


Explanation: That he knew what was going on and he just didn't want to get caught but he did. 


















Horsager, David. "Cheating in Athletics: The Real Cost of (a Lack Of) Trust." The Huffington Post. TheHuffingtonPost.com, n.d. Web. 22 Oct. 2015.

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